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Why I Will Not Use U.S. Government Data for Three More Years

I have reluctantly concluded that I cannot believe any numbers emanating from the U.S. government. The purpose of this article is to explain why I will not use U.S. government data for three more years. The exception is long-term historical data that is harder to fudge. I remain hopeful that the next occupant of the executive branch will restore integrity to the data. … I am personally heartbroken speaking as someone who has used and relied on this data since 1971.
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Meta-Analysis, the Election, and 538

It’s made even worse this year by the non-response rate to polls, hovering near 90 percent. That means for every ten calls a pollster makes, they get one response. So much for the “random sample” assumption. Continue Reading →