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Tony Lima's Economic Analysis

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Category Archives: Current issues

investment Fourth quarter GDP

Fourth Quarter GDP

Posted on February 6, 2023 by Tony Lima — Leave a reply

GDP growth of 2.9% sounds pretty good. But there is underlying weakness in the economy. I estimate a 60% chance of a recession in 2023. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged featured, gdp, goods, inventory cycle, recession, services | Leave a reply
Wanted poster Repeal the Jones Act

Repeal the Jones Act

Posted on January 26, 2023 by Tony Lima — Leave a reply

Puerto Rick is a hurricane magnet. After the last one, power was out for 928,000 residents. The island has many diesel power generators. A tanker full of diesel was moored off the coast. But it wasn’t allowed to dock. Why? The Jones Act. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged diesel generator, featured, Jones Act, Puerto Rico | Leave a reply
Assault Stove Ban Natural Gas

Banning Gas Kitchen Stoves

Posted on January 17, 2023 by Tony Lima

Some bureaucrats in the Consumer Product Safety Commission have floated a proposal to ban the sale of gas kitchen stoves. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged electric stoves, featured, gas stoves, house fires, indoor air pollution, methane combustion, natural gas
Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA SBF, FTX, and the Law

SBF, FTX, and the Law

Posted on December 26, 2022 by Tony Lima

SBF is Sam Bankman-Fried. FTX is his cryptocurrency exchange. Alameda Research is a hedge fund owned by … SBF. Sensing a pattern here. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues | Tagged featured, FTX, Genevieve Roch-Decter, SBF

Who’s Helping Ukraine?

Posted on December 23, 2022 by Tony Lima

Who’s helping Ukraine? Using data from the Ukraine Support Tracker, I estimate aid from the U.S., the rest of the world, and non-US NATO. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged featured, foreign aid, Ukraine, Ukraine Support Tracker
Joey Politano Upcoming Changes to the CPI?

Two New Housing Price Indexes

Posted on December 21, 2022 by Tony Lima

Two new housing price indexes from BLS and the Cleveland Fed: New Tenant Repeat Rent Index (NTRRI) and All Tenant Repeat Rent Index (ATRRI), Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged Brian Adams, CPI, featured, Joey Politano, rent, repeat rent index
Salmon Rep. Dan Bishop (R-NC) Dissects the Omnibus Spending Bill

Rep. Dan Bishop (R-NC) Dissects the Omnibus Spending Bill

Posted on December 20, 2022 by Tony Lima

Rep. Dan Bishop dissected the “omnibus” spending bill.  He highlights the worst travesties. $3.6 million for the Michelle Obama Trail? Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged Bishop, featured, federal government spending, Omnibus
American Thought Leaders logo Riley Moore Reveals the Truth About ESG Funds.

Riley Moore Reveals the Truth About ESG Funds.

Posted on September 26, 2022 by Tony Lima

The truth about ESG funds: fund managers are raking it in on all this stuff. And some funds may not live up to their own standards. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged American Thought Leaders, ESG, featured, Jan Jekielek, Riley Moore

Wall Street Journal Exchange Rate Fail

Posted on September 16, 2022 by Tony Lima

Wall Street Journal exchange rate fail. Ms. Feng thinks an exchange rate change from 7¥/$ to 6.9¥/$ is a ¥depreciation. That’s backwards. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic basics | Tagged appreciation, depreciation, exchange rate, featured, Wall Street Journal fail
Chart Description automatically generated

M1 and M2 Definitions Have Changed

Posted on September 7, 2022 by Tony Lima

The definitions of M1 and M2 changed in May, 2020. Edited September 7, 2022 to clarify that total M2 did not change because M2 includes M1. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged featured, M1, M2, money supply definition

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Our Favorite Economist Tony Lima

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Economist Thoughts

TARIFF, n. A scale of taxes on imports, designed to protect the domestic producer against the greed of his customers. — Ambrose Bierce

“Everybody knows that once something is declared a right, the laws of supply and demand are automatically repealed.” – Ben Shapiro, podcast, September 4, 2018

Why I will not use government data from now on

Last Tweets

  • Join @carldemaio and sign the petition to Stop the Natural Gas Ban! Sign the petition here: https://t.co/n4ltSCzl2V, 17 hours ago
  • RT @missmulrooney: My 3-year-old said she wished we had a pet. I reminded her we have a dog and wow the genuine surprise on her face a… https://t.co/uEL0wMlebB, 19 hours ago
  • RT @zerohedge: Pentagon ‘did not detect’ previous Chinese spy balloons: US general Glen VanHerck, the head of U.S. Northern Comman… https://t.co/29p8PNDOq6, Feb 7
  • Fourth quarter GDP says we’re heading for a recession. Buckle up for a bumpy ride through the deep weeds of GDP num… https://t.co/eHawhPhH76, Feb 7
  • RT @bloodless_coup: 🔴 I regret to inform you the cowardly, rudderless, stupid party is being cowardly, rudderless and stupid again. 🙄 https://t.co/lfuM9iks6m, Feb 6

Websites I Like and Use

  • Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
  • Political Calculations
  • California Pension Tracker
  • Dan Mitchell's Analysis of Tax Issues

My Other Blogs

  • My musings about technology and strategy
  • California Wine Fan
  • Virginia Wine Fan
  • Oregon Wine Fan

GonzoEcon History

Recent Posts

  • Fourth Quarter GDP
  • COVID and Kids Part 2
  • The U.S. Washboard Monopoly
  • Repeal the Jones Act
  • Everybody Talks About the Weather

Recent Comments

  • Tony Lima on Banning Gas Kitchen Stoves
  • Jeff Olson on Banning Gas Kitchen Stoves
  • Tony Lima on Everybody Talks About the Weather
  • Mick on Everybody Talks About the Weather
  • Inflation Update - GonzoEcon on Inflation, Its Causes, and Money

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  • Fourth Quarter GDP February 7, 2023
    GDP growth of 2.9% sounds pretty good. But there is underlying weakness in the economy. I estimate a 60% chance of a recession in 2023. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • COVID and Kids Part 2 January 31, 2023
    COVID and kids part because the CDC has once again produced a junk study.  Even worse, after two revisions they still don't have it right.  Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • The U.S. Washboard Monopoly January 28, 2023
    Inspired by a front-page article in the Wall Street Journal, I investigated this outrage.  The U.S. washboard monopoly is a national disgrace. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Repeal the Jones Act January 26, 2023
    Puerto Rick is a hurricane magnet. After the last one, power was out for 928,000 residents. The island has many diesel power generators. A tanker full of diesel was moored off the coast. But it wasn’t allowed to dock. Why? The Jones Act. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
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