Everybody Talks About the Weather
Everybody talks about the weather, so why should I be any different? I look at rainfall in the Bay Area this season. Results are encouraging. Continue Reading →
Category Archives: Economic Data
Who’s Helping Ukraine?
Who’s helping Ukraine? Using data from the Ukraine Support Tracker, I estimate aid from the U.S., the rest of the world, and non-US NATO. Continue Reading →
Two New Housing Price Indexes
Two new housing price indexes from BLS and the Cleveland Fed: New Tenant Repeat Rent Index (NTRRI) and All Tenant Repeat Rent Index (ATRRI), Continue Reading →
Marginal and Average Explains Inflation Changes
The annualized month-to-month inflation (AMM) and the year over year rate (YOY) are the marginal and average. AMM > YOY, YOY should rise. Continue Reading →
RTX and Third Quarter GDP
y hypothesis was that U.S. aid to Ukraine was recycled as purchases of U.S. weapons. This is part 2 of my discussion of third quarter GDP. Continue Reading →
Third Quarter GDP
There’s a good chance that a lot of the increase in third quarter GDP was caused by U.S. government spending, specifically foreign aid. Continue Reading →
Electricity in California
This is the good, the bad, and the ugly of electricity in California. My case study is a typical day from the recent heat wave. Continue Reading →
M1 and M2 Definitions Have Changed
The definitions of M1 and M2 changed in May, 2020. Edited September 7, 2022 to clarify that total M2 did not change because M2 includes M1. Continue Reading →
The State of U.S. Education in 2019: Comparing the States
The state of U.S. education: test scores from the NAEP, spending from the Census Bureau, and a measure of state price levels from the BEA. Continue Reading →
Does a Recession Really Have To Have 2 Consecutive Quarters of Negative GDP Growth?
Does a recession really have to have 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth? No. The Business Cycles Dating Committee makes this call. Continue Reading →