
Everybody Talks About the Weather
Everybody talks about the weather, so why should I be any different? I look at rainfall in the Bay Area this season. Results are encouraging. Continue Reading →
Everybody talks about the weather, so why should I be any different? I look at rainfall in the Bay Area this season. Results are encouraging. Continue Reading →
Who’s helping Ukraine? Using data from the Ukraine Support Tracker, I estimate aid from the U.S., the rest of the world, and non-US NATO. Continue Reading →
Two new housing price indexes from BLS and the Cleveland Fed: New Tenant Repeat Rent Index (NTRRI) and All Tenant Repeat Rent Index (ATRRI), Continue Reading →
The annualized month-to-month inflation (AMM) and the year over year rate (YOY) are the marginal and average. AMM > YOY, YOY should rise. Continue Reading →
y hypothesis was that U.S. aid to Ukraine was recycled as purchases of U.S. weapons. This is part 2 of my discussion of third quarter GDP. Continue Reading →
There’s a good chance that a lot of the increase in third quarter GDP was caused by U.S. government spending, specifically foreign aid. Continue Reading →
This is the good, the bad, and the ugly of electricity in California. My case study is a typical day from the recent heat wave. Continue Reading →
The definitions of M1 and M2 changed in May, 2020. Edited September 7, 2022 to clarify that total M2 did not change because M2 includes M1. Continue Reading →
The state of U.S. education: test scores from the NAEP, spending from the Census Bureau, and a measure of state price levels from the BEA. Continue Reading →
Does a recession really have to have 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth? No. The Business Cycles Dating Committee makes this call. Continue Reading →