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Category Archives: Economic policy

Deficits, Debt, and Money: A Primer

Posted on July 24, 2026 by Tony Lima

Are there any three words more often confused in the media? … This article will introduce basic – very basic – concepts. Frankly, no U.S. citizen should be allowed to vote unless they understand this stuff. Continue Reading →

Posted in Economic policy | Tagged budget surpluses, credit card balance, debt instruments, government budget deficit, government debt, government issues, money supply
Ryan Bourne on the Minimum Wage

Ryan Bourne on the Minimum Wage

Posted on July 14, 2026 by Tony Lima

Periodically, some politician decides that we need a shiny new minimum wage. Yes, their proposals always move in the same direction: higher. Continue Reading →

Posted in Economic policy, The Intersection of Economics and Technology | Tagged Bourne, featured, local data, minimum wage, state data
Fig01

The Current State of the Fed

Posted on May 5, 2026 by Tony Lima

I know the Fed has to change their policies based on the most recent economic data. But doesn’t this seem a little fast and furious to you? Continue Reading →

Posted in Economic policy | Tagged economic history, economic policy, economic policy tools, featured
Fig03 CPI calculation including calculated October value

Why the Fed Cut Rates at the December FOMC Meeting

Posted on January 10, 2026 by Tony Lima

Those two facts explain the Fed’s decision to cut the target Federal Funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3 1/2 to 3 3/4 percent. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged bls, CPI, December rate cut, featured, fomc, inflation, missing data, monetary policy
Fig02 core pce 2020 to 2025 from US Bank What’s Going On at the Fed?

What’s Going On at the Fed?

Posted on September 5, 2025 by Tony Lima

An “upheaval” at the Fed. On July 30, Vice Chair Michelle W. Bowman dissented from the FOMC’s July decision to not change interest rates. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged cut rates, featured, federal reserve, first do no harm, monetary policy

Erik Kaiser Offers a Case Study on Tariffs

Posted on June 25, 2025 by Tony Lima

Erik Kaiser spent $1 million developing a factory in China.  He offers some advice to those trying to manage trade with that country. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy, Global Economics | Tagged China, Erik Kaiser, featured, tariffs
Erica York On White House Tariff Claims

Erica York On White House Tariff Claims

Posted on June 7, 2025 by Tony Lima

The White House made 6 claims supporting tariffs. Erica York has evaluated them.  The White House does not emerge unscathed. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged Erica York, featured, tariffs
Fig01 graph OBBB and TCJA

OBBB and TCJA

Posted on May 29, 2025 by Tony Lima

OBBB is “One Big Beautiful Bill.”  TCJA is the 2017 “Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,” the very stimulative tax cuts of President Trump’s first term. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged Donald Schneider, featured, OBBB, Schneider, TCJA
Fig04 The Federal Reserve Enters Perilous Waters

The Federal Reserve Enters Perilous Waters

Posted on April 20, 2025 by Tony Lima

There is a potential Supreme Court case regarding the Fed’s independence. The Federal Reserve is about to enter perilous waters. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged Alesina, central bank independence, featured, inflation, Navarro, Summers
Fig 02 First, do no harm

First, Do No Harm

Posted on April 17, 2025 by Tony Lima

Here, I want to propose a new mandate for economic policymakers: first, do no harm. How should policymakers respond to adverse supply shocks? Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic policy | Tagged economic policy, featured, first do no harm, stagflation

Economist Thoughts

TARIFF, n. A scale of taxes on imports, designed to protect the domestic producer against the greed of his customers. — Ambrose Bierce

“Everybody knows that once something is declared a right, the laws of supply and demand are automatically repealed.” – Ben Shapiro, podcast, September 4, 2018

Websites I Like and Use

  • Political Calculations
  • Dan Mitchell's Analysis of Tax Issues
  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
  • Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
  • Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  • California Pension Tracker

My Other Blogs

  • California Wine Fan
  • Virginia Wine Fan
  • Oregon Wine Fan
  • My musings about technology and strategy

GonzoEcon History

Recent Posts

  • Iowahawk Shows How to Use Excel to Draw Your Own Hockey Stick
  • Secrets of Making Money
  • Your Constitutional Right to Be a Pirate
  • Berkley’s Natural Gas Ban Will Cost Consumers
  • Berkeley Bans Natural Gas

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  • Iowahawk Shows How to Use Excel to Draw Your Own Hockey Stick September 22, 2026
    Remember the "hockey stick?" No, not the kind used in the National Hockey League.  This hockey stick is a curve first proposed by Michael Mann. It is the output from his climate model. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Secrets of Making Money September 21, 2026
    About a century ago, the PBS NOVA put together "Secrets of Making Money." This video detailed the many then-new security features built into the redesigned $100 banknote. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Your Constitutional Right to Be a Pirate September 4, 2026
    Article I, Sec 8 of the Constitution gives Congress the power to grant citizens “letters of marque and reprisal.” You, too, can be a pirate. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Berkley’s Natural Gas Ban Will Cost Consumers August 4, 2026
    Congratulations, Berkeley residents. Not only do you get to pay more for your electric stove, you also contribute to greater greenhouse gas emissions. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
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