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Tag Archives: gdp

Fig01 Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP Q 2023-2025 Fixing GDP Problems Created in Washington DC

Fixing GDP Problems Created in Washington DC

Posted on August 2, 2025 by Tony Lima

The answer is the mismanagement of information by the Trump administration. I’m going to discuss fixing GDP problems created in Washington DC. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic basics, Using economic data | Tagged cycle, featured, gdp, gross domestic spending, imports, inventories
Simon Kuznets Why the GDP Equation Subtracts Imports

Why the GDP Equation Subtracts Imports

Posted on May 31, 2025 by Tony Lima

GDP is gross domestic product. It measures total production, the total output of an economy. We use national income accounting to add up GDP. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic basics | Tagged exports, featured, gdp, imports, inventory change, national income accounting, production, spending
Fig03 GDP per capita 2024 Where Does California Rank in Global GDP?

Where Does California Rank in Global GDP?

Posted on May 12, 2025 by Tony Lima

A recent press release from Gov. Newsom’s office claimed “California is now the 4th largest economy in the world.” He was correct. Continue Reading →

Posted in California Economy, Economic Data | Tagged featured, gdp, GDP per capita, global ranking with California, international ranking
Advance vs third est graph Revisiting First Quarter GDP

Revisiting First Quarter GDP

Posted on July 12, 2023 by Tony Lima

The third estimate was released a few weeks ago. Real GDP growth increased from the first estimate’s 1.1 percent to 2.0 percent Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged estimates, featured, gdp

First Quarter GDP

Posted on April 30, 2023 by Tony Lima

First quarter growth was driven by Federal government hiring. Higher government cost was a major contributor to the ongoing inflation. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data, Economic policy | Tagged advance estimate, economic growth, featured, first quarter, gdp, inflation
investment Fourth quarter GDP

Fourth Quarter GDP

Posted on February 6, 2023 by Tony Lima

GDP growth of 2.9% sounds pretty good. But there is underlying weakness in the economy. I estimate a 60% chance of a recession in 2023. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged featured, gdp, goods, inventory cycle, recession, services
Third quarter GDP

Third Quarter GDP

Posted on October 27, 2022 by Tony Lima

There’s a good chance that a lot of the increase in third quarter GDP was caused by U.S. government spending, specifically foreign aid. Continue Reading →

Posted in Economic Data, The state of the economy | Tagged adding up gdp, advance estimate, featured, gdp, government spending, inventory change, third quarter, Ukraine
Why US GDP Fell By 4.8 Percent in 2020 Q1

Why US GDP Fell By 4.8 Percent in 2020 Q1

Posted on May 2, 2020 by Tony Lima

US GDP decreased 4.8 percent in 2020:I. Personal consumption spending fell by 7.78% compared to the previous quarter with spending on services decreasing a whopping 10.63%. Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, The state of the economy | Tagged COVID-19, featured, gdp, US economy

Don’t Blame Households for First Quarter GDP

Posted on May 3, 2015 by Tony Lima

The U.S. economy is still sick. It will not be cured until (if and when) the current regulatory onslaught emanating from Washington, D.C. is not just slowed, but rolled back. The U.S. needs business climate change. Continue Reading →

Posted in The state of the economy | Tagged gdp, investment collapse, regulation, slow growth

The Mystery of Third Quarter GDP

Posted on January 4, 2015 by Tony Lima

While subprime vehicle loans contributed to third quarter growth, the total contribution was minor. Far more concerning is the continuing growth of inventories and the apparent burst of growth in IP investment.
Continue Reading →

Posted in Current issues, Economic Data | Tagged gdp, intellectual property, IP investment, subprime auto loans, subprime rv loans

Economist Thoughts

TARIFF, n. A scale of taxes on imports, designed to protect the domestic producer against the greed of his customers. — Ambrose Bierce

“Everybody knows that once something is declared a right, the laws of supply and demand are automatically repealed.” – Ben Shapiro, podcast, September 4, 2018

Websites I Like and Use

  • Political Calculations
  • Dan Mitchell's Analysis of Tax Issues
  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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  • Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  • California Pension Tracker

My Other Blogs

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  • My musings about technology and strategy

GonzoEcon History

Recent Posts

  • Iowahawk Shows How to Use Excel to Draw Your Own Hockey Stick
  • Secrets of Making Money
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  • Iowahawk Shows How to Use Excel to Draw Your Own Hockey Stick September 22, 2026
    Remember the "hockey stick?" No, not the kind used in the National Hockey League.  This hockey stick is a curve first proposed by Michael Mann. It is the output from his climate model. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Secrets of Making Money September 21, 2026
    About a century ago, the PBS NOVA put together "Secrets of Making Money." This video detailed the many then-new security features built into the redesigned $100 banknote. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Your Constitutional Right to Be a Pirate September 4, 2026
    Article I, Sec 8 of the Constitution gives Congress the power to grant citizens “letters of marque and reprisal.” You, too, can be a pirate. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
  • Berkley’s Natural Gas Ban Will Cost Consumers August 4, 2026
    Congratulations, Berkeley residents. Not only do you get to pay more for your electric stove, you also contribute to greater greenhouse gas emissions. Continue Reading →
    Tony Lima
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